Key demographic and local trends affecting hotels, vacation rentals, restaurants and golf courses in the Suncoast and SRQ marketplace
Florida continues to experience growth across both the general population and the inflow of travelers. Enterprise Florida reported a growth in the state population of around 2.0% in recent years. VisitFlorida reports that travelers into Florida from all global destinations increased 2.5% for 1Q17 compared to the same period the previous year, reaching 31.1 million visitors.
Manatee, Sarasota, and Charlotte counties are no exception to this. ESRI’s analysis showed these counties experiencing a total population growth rate of 7.3%, 6.0%, and 5.0%, respectively, from 2010 to 2016. Further to this point, Metrostudy reports that Sarasota County experienced 23.4% growth in housing starts when comparing 1Q17 to 4Q16. Manatee county experienced a decrease of 0.2% in the same metric.
Other cities within this area also reported meaningful population growth. The Herald-Tribune recently reported that the city of Sarasota experienced 2.5% growth from 2015 to 2016 based upon Census Bureau data, while Bradenton was at 2.3% and North Port at 3.3%. Each of these areas has a different demographic makeup and understanding the local hospitality industry supply, population and demographic data at the county level shows metrics that should be of interest when planning for future marketing activities.
Local Hospitality Industry Supply Levels
|Hotels||Full Service Restaurants||Limited Service Restaurants|| |
Source: Enterprise Florida
However, most of us understand that these numbers are changing and sometimes rapidly. Hotel room inventory in the city of Sarasota will be changing significantly during the next 12 to 18 months. It may also be worth mentioning that while these numbers are close and directional, they are not perfect due to how business types are categorized within the data.
Reviewing the population of the area allows us to compare it to inventory levels for each hospitality segment.
Local Consumer Demographics
|Population||Median Age||Households||Households 50k +||
% Households 50k +
Source: Enterprise Florida
Ratios: Population Per Supply
|Population/ Hotel||Population/ Restaurant||
While the above table has a reasonable amount of consistency across each county, the data at the city level is much more disparate with significant variations in the ratios from city to city. These calculations lead owners to ask if they are getting a fair share of the population and its extended sphere of influence to visit a specific location. Completing this analysis properly, requires the addition of inbound fly and drive travel activity to be included. Combining these data sources creates a baseline of volume that should be achievable for a given location and promotes a better understanding of the ebbs and flows from which marketing programs may influence revenues.
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